Amid strengthening El nino conditions, warmer November predicted by IMD

With the exception of a few locations in the northwest and west central regions, above-normal minimum temperatures are predicted for most of India in November due to the strengthening El Nino, the IMD stated on Tuesday.

Director General of India Meteorological Department (IMD), Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, stated during a press conference that November rainfall across the nation will probably be normal, falling between 77 and 123 percent of the long-period average.

According to him, there is a good chance of above-average rainfall in several regions of the southernmost tip of the Indian peninsula, the majority of northwest India, and numerous east-central, east, and northeast regions.

Over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean, EI Nino conditions are in effect, while over the Indian Ocean, positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are dominant. According to the IMD, current global forecasts suggest that El Nino conditions will probably persist throughout the season and that favourable IOD conditions will probably weaken in the upcoming months.

Models, according to Mohapatra, indicate that El Nino conditions are unlikely to last into the upcoming monsoon season.

Weaker monsoon winds and drier weather in India are linked to El Nino conditions, which are caused by warming waters in the Pacific Ocean close to South America.

The difference in sea surface temperatures between the eastern Indian Ocean region, near Indonesia, and the western Indian Ocean region, near Africa, is known as the Indian Ocean Dipole.

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