Election

Exit Polls: BJP Alliance Predicted To Win Maharashtra Assembly Elections

Several exit polls, including those by Dainik Bhaskar and Chanakya Strategies, predict a victory for the BJP-led alliance in both Maharashtra. The results for these states will be announced on November 23. According to the Bharat Express poll of polls, the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance is set to win 146 seats in Maharashtra’s assembly elections. The MVA (Maha Vikas Aghadi) alliance is projected to secure 129 seats, while others are expected to claim 13 seats.

In Maharashtra, voting for the single-phase election across 288 assembly constituencies took place from 7 am to 6 pm. The contest is between the ruling Mahayuti alliance—comprising the BJP, Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde faction), and NCP (Ajit Pawar faction)—and the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), which includes Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT), and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction).

The majority mark for the Maharashtra Assembly is 145 seats.

Exit Poll Predictions for Maharashtra

  1. Chanakya Strategies
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 152-160 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 130-138 seats
    • Others: 6-8 seats
  2. Dainik Bhaskar
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 125-140 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 135-150 seats
    • Others: 20-25 seats
  3. Lokshahi Marathi-Rudra
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 128-142 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 125-140 seats
    • Others: 18-23 seats
  4. Matrize
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 150-170 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 110-130 seats
    • Others: 8-10 seats
  5. P-Marq
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 137-157 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 126-146 seats
    • Others: 2-8 seats
  6. Peoples Pulse
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 175-195 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 85-112 seats
    • Others: 7-12 seats
  7. Times Now-JVC
    • NDA (BJP-led alliance): 150-167 seats
    • MVA (Opposition alliance): 107-125 seats
    • Others: 13-14 seats

Maharashtra’s High Stakes Political Battle

Maharashtra’s election is critical for both national and regional parties. In the 2019 elections, the BJP won the most seats with 105, followed by Shiv Sena (56) and Congress (44). However, Maharashtra’s political landscape has drastically shifted in the last five years with three different chief ministers and splits within major parties like Shiv Sena and NCP.

Voter turnout in 2019 was 61.4%. Maharashtra’s electorate is vast, with nearly 9.7 crore voters. Of these, 1.85 crore are young voters, including 20.93 lakh first-time voters.

The results in Maharashtra will not only test the BJP’s momentum after its Haryana victory but also serve as a major test for the opposition INDIA alliance. The BJP’s ability to stay in power with regional partners like Shiv Sena and NCP will be crucial in this high-stakes election.

Also Read: Exit Polls Predict BJP Alliance Victory In Jharkhand Assembly Elections

Ajaypal Choudhary

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