The home run is expected by the Republicans. The United States of America is holding its midterm elections, and if the pollsters are to be believed, the Republicans, the Grand Old Party, are poised to gain control of both the House and the Senate.
While President Joe Biden hoped to make the election about the impending political comeback of former President Donald Trump in 2024, abortion rights may wind up being the price of the NATO-spurred conflict in Ukraine.
The United States is more concerned about making their breakfast than with halfway around the world democracy. You guessed it—the economy. The invasion of Ukraine by Russia halted the post-pandemic economic recovery in America and Europe, driving up petrol and food costs.
The consumer price index’s annual percentage change reached its highest point in June 2022 at 9.1% before declining to 8.5% in July, 8.3% in August, and 8.2% in September. The shift, however, is far bigger than the 5-odd% saw during the 2008 property market crash.
Core inflation, which excludes prices for food and energy, reached a 40-year high in September of 6.6%. Biden’s major issue has been energy. The yearly percentage change in energy costs peaked at 41.6% in June, three months after the war in Ukraine, before declining to 19-odd% in September.
After March, there was double-digit increase in the price of food, which made Biden’s financial situation worse. In a CNN poll, 51% of respondents said the economy was the most important issue to them in the elections, with only 15% citing abortion rights, which only serves to muddle matters further.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve has failed to create the gentle landing that would benefit Biden. The Inflation Reduction Act, which Biden arranged as a congressional success in early August, has proven to be difficult to promote in the run-up to the midterm elections.
The Act’s expenditures may be scrutinized by Congress if the GOP controls the House and the Senate. Young voters could be drawn to Biden’s idea, which is presently on hold, to cancel up to $10,000 in student loans.
Even though the House and Senate numbers might go any way, a GOP victory might affect how much money is allocated to the conflict in Russia and Ukraine. It’s interesting to note that Republicans want to keep writing blank checks to Kiev while Democrats have been heard suggesting the concept of a diplomatic dialogue with Russia.
Conclusion: Despite the fact that Russia may be subject to economic sanctions, if the consumer opinion in America is any indication, Biden is about to face domestic political penalties, which will provide Trump with the ideal platform from which to campaign.
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