All major exit polls released Tuesday project the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure a sweeping victory in the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections.
The RJD-Congress-led Mahagathbandhan appears to be heading for a major setback, while Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj struggles to make a mark.
Exit polls conducted after the high voter turnout on November 6 and 11 predict a clear NDA lead.
Pollsters expect the alliance to cross the 122-seat majority mark, while they predict the Mahagathbandhan will fail to reach 100 seats.
Seven polling agencies, including Chanakya Strategies, Matrize, Polstrat, Dainik Bhaskar, P-Marq, DV Research, and People’s Insight, predicted an NDA majority.
Three of these agencies projected the alliance securing more than 160 seats.
According to Chanakya Strategies, the NDA is likely to win 130-138 seats, with the Mahagathbandhan expected to bag 100-108.
Others, including Jan Suraaj and AIMIM, may secure 3-5 seats.
Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll places the NDA at 145-160 seats, the Mahagathbandhan at 73-91, and others between 5-7 seats.
Polstrat forecasts 133-148 seats for the NDA (44.7% vote share) and 87-102 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (40.3% vote share).
DV Research predicts a similar pattern, with the NDA getting 137-152 seats, Mahagathbandhan 83-98, and others 1-8.
JVC expects the NDA to win 135-150 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan secures 88-103.
People’s Insight offers nearly identical numbers, 133-148 for NDA and 87-102 for Mahagathbandhan.
The IANS-Matrize exit poll, considered among the most comprehensive, forecasts a decisive win for the NDA with 147-167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may end up with just 70-90.
P-Marq also predicts a clear NDA edge with 142-162 seats, and the Mahagathbandhan is restricted to 80-98.
Peoples Pulse estimates 133-159 seats for the NDA and 75-101 for the Mahagathbandhan. Both find Jan Suraaj marginally visible with 1-5 seats.
With all pollsters aligned, Bihar seems poised for an NDA comeback.
If the projections hold true, the BJP-JD(U) alliance is set to dominate once again, while the RJD-Congress bloc faces another political blow.
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