Poll Of Polls: Exit Polls Predict Landslide Win For NDA In Bihar; Major Setback For Mahagathbandhan

All major exit polls released Tuesday project the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure a sweeping victory in the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections.

The RJD-Congress-led Mahagathbandhan appears to be heading for a major setback, while Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj struggles to make a mark.

Exit polls conducted after the high voter turnout on November 6 and 11 predict a clear NDA lead.

Pollsters expect the alliance to cross the 122-seat majority mark, while they predict the Mahagathbandhan will fail to reach 100 seats.

Seven polling agencies, including Chanakya Strategies, Matrize, Polstrat, Dainik Bhaskar, P-Marq, DV Research, and People’s Insight, predicted an NDA majority.

Three of these agencies projected the alliance securing more than 160 seats.

According to Chanakya Strategies, the NDA is likely to win 130-138 seats, with the Mahagathbandhan expected to bag 100-108.

Others, including Jan Suraaj and AIMIM, may secure 3-5 seats.

Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll places the NDA at 145-160 seats, the Mahagathbandhan at 73-91, and others between 5-7 seats.

Polstrat forecasts 133-148 seats for the NDA (44.7% vote share) and 87-102 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (40.3% vote share).

DV Research predicts a similar pattern, with the NDA getting 137-152 seats, Mahagathbandhan 83-98, and others 1-8.

JVC expects the NDA to win 135-150 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan secures 88-103.

People’s Insight offers nearly identical numbers, 133-148 for NDA and 87-102 for Mahagathbandhan.

The IANS-Matrize exit poll, considered among the most comprehensive, forecasts a decisive win for the NDA with 147-167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may end up with just 70-90.

P-Marq also predicts a clear NDA edge with 142-162 seats, and the Mahagathbandhan is restricted to 80-98.

Peoples Pulse estimates 133-159 seats for the NDA and 75-101 for the Mahagathbandhan. Both find Jan Suraaj marginally visible with 1-5 seats.

With all pollsters aligned, Bihar seems poised for an NDA comeback.

If the projections hold true, the BJP-JD(U) alliance is set to dominate once again, while the RJD-Congress bloc faces another political blow.

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