Asia Stocks Rise With Market Focus On Signs Of Interest Rate Cut

Asia stocks were mostly higher on Tuesday, with investors mainly focusing on a US inflation report and what it means for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Oil prices advanced while US futures were mixed. The yen weakened, coming close to a 34-year low.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 gained 1.1% in morning trading to 39,773.13. The yen languished as the US dollar edged up to 151.88 Japanese yen, coming close to a 34-year high of 151.97 yen which it hit in late March.

The Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose for a second day, adding 0.7% to 16,856.41, while the Shanghai Composite index slipped 0.2% to 3,041.30.

In South Korea, the Kospi lost 0.3% to 2,710.41, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.4% to 7,822.40.

An update on the US consumer price index is due later Wednesday.

“The upbeat sentiment stemming from Friday’s jobs report, where indexes surged following wage-growth data suggesting contained inflationary pressures, has set the stage for a white knuckle event as the forthcoming consumer-price index release looms larger than life,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

US stock indexes were at a virtual standstill Monday as trading calmed after a whirlwind couple of days left them a bit shy of their records.

The S&P 500 edged down less than 0.1% to 5,202.39. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tiptoed less than 0.1% lower to 38,892.80, while the Nasdaq composite inched 5 points higher to 16,253.96.

A string of reports showing inflation and the economy has remained hotter than expected has led investors to delay forecasts for when relief on rates could arrive.

This week has several flashpoints that could further swing expectations. Apart from Wednesday’s report on the inflation that US consumers are feeling at cash registers, there will be reports on inflation at the wholesale level and on expectations for future inflation among US households.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said recently that he still expects cuts to interest rates this year, but the central bank needs additional confirmation inflation is heading toward its target of 2%. The Fed has been holding its main interest rate at the highest level since 2001, hoping to grind down enough on the economy and prices for investments to get inflation under control. The risk of holding rates too high for too long is that it could cause a recession.

Friday’s surprisingly strong jobs report showed that workers’ average hourly wages were behaving as expected, even though employers hired far more workers than expected last month.

But critics say stock prices already look expensive given their huge run of more than 20% from November into March. That means “achieving ambitious earnings forecasts has become paramount,” according to Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.

“Economic growth is good, but complacency around its implications is not,” she said.

To that end, this week will bring the start of the latest earnings reporting season. Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan Chase, and other banks will headline the earliest days of the reporting period. Analysts are expecting companies across the S&P 500 to deliver a third straight quarter of growth.

In the bond market, Treasury yields rose to add to their gains for the year so far on diminished expectations for cuts to rates. The yield on the 10-year Treasury ticked up to 4.42% from less than 3.90% at the start of the year.

Benchmark US crude added 10 cents to $86.53 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standards, was 17 cents higher to $90.55 a barrel.

In currency trading, the euro cost $1.0857, little changed from $1.0856.

Source: PTI