Nepal: Political Fluctuation Turns to Political Tradition

New round of instability in the government of Nepal does not shock political observers. Though it’s been only 2 months since the formation of the new government in Nepal and the ruling coalition is witnessing tremendous upheaval in there.

The Nepali political upheaval is occurring between the two top communist parties. Both these communist parties have ruled the country and the leaders of both the parties consider themselves as the top shots.

Nevertheless, the last election appeared as a nightmare for both these communist parties proving to be laggards in comparison to the Nepali Congress. Nepali Congress garnered 89 seats in the last election. While the Communist Party of Pushpakamal Dahal Prachanda succeeded only on 32 and KP Oli’s Maoist Communist Party was satisfied with 78 seats.

Both the communist parties formed a jugad coalition with joining hands with some other small parties. Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Nepali Congress remained intact, but in the last two months, so many differences arose between the two communist parties. And then PM Prachanda who had joined hands with the Nepali Congress, now bypassing Oli’s party for the post of President, has come with the Nepali Congress. For the formality of the balancing act, its leader Ramchandra Paudel has been made the presidential candidate.

This political treachery enraged Oli. He claimed that Prachanda has reneged on his promise. That is how the separation from the government took place. A total of 8 ministers resigned and the list also includes his deputy prime minister. Despite these resignations, there seems no danger hovering over Prachanda government, as the new coalition still enjoys a majority in the Parliament. Currently, with 141 MPs, Prachanda requires a total of 138 members to remain in the government.

How long will this government run with the majority out of the support of only three members? The possibility of slipping about half a dozen other parties out of this alliance also is a lurking danger. THere is also the possibility of the biggest temptations which can make them part their ways. The presidential election is to be held next week on March 9. In the next seven days, any party can join or leave any alliance.

The political situation in Nepal looks so uncertain that the presidential election itself may also have to be postponed. India’s role in this upheaval of Nepal is not too deeply connected, because both the communist parties have been completely carrying anti-India sentiment. They also sometimes try to take refuge under India’s help when they get into trouble. Amidst this crisis, the role of China in Nepali politics is going to be very important. Both Communist parties have been fervent Sino-lovers.

This crisis has made it clear that power is the reality and deology is just illusion. Communist parties of India have also been fighting with each other, but Communist parties of Nepal have proved that power is paramount, even if it keeps on changing every year. The kind of instability we have been witnessing in Nepal in the last almost two decades, has not occurred in any other country in South Asia.

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